Vol. II · No. 207
Established 2025

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Sunday, July 26, 2026
168 writers in the library
Finance · 1 shelves
Finance

Of Dollars And Data.

Act Smarter. Live Richer. Nick Maggiulli on personal finance and investing.

Recent essays

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Money Talks: The Price of Status

A year ago, I published my second book The Wealth Ladder. It's sold over 100,000 copies worldwide and hit the New York Times bestseller list in its third week of publication. At the time, I was thrilled that my work was finally getting some mainstream media at…

Are Stocks Going Up or Is the Dollar Going Down?

As stocks have hit new all-time highs in recent months, I've seen an increasing number of people argue that stocks aren't becoming more valuable, the dollar is becoming less valuable. Investor Lee Roach articulated this "debasement theory" in a recent Twitter/…

A Century of U.S. Stock Returns: Expect the Unexpected

In honor of America's 250th birthday, I decided to do a deep dive into U.S. stock returns over the past century. My goal was to answer the following question: If you had invested in U.S. stocks at a random point in the last 100 years (1926-2025), how would the…

Is $5M in Treasury Bills Enough to Be Set for Life?

A few months ago I saw this video of Kevin O'Leary (Mr. Wonderful) arguing that $5M was enough for a lifetime of financial security. On the surface it seems hard to argue with this, but it was how O'Leary recommended investing this money that gave me pause. As…

Why Poorer Students Earn Less (Even With the Same Degree)

I recently saw this video where Anna Stansbury, an assistant professor at MIT, explains that people who grew up in poverty end up earning less than their more affluent peers, even when they attended the same university: We know that socio-economic background m…

Can Supply and Demand Predict the Stock Market?

Working in England in the 14th century was difficult to say the least. Between the harsh conditions and low wages, you also had to fight against the occasional disease outbreak and a repressive government. As the Black Death spread across England, killing anyw…

How Much Will SpaceX Actually Cost Your Index Fund?

This week SpaceX is having its initial public offering (IPO) where it plans to raise $75 billion at a $1.77 trillion valuation. Anthropic and OpenAI have their own IPO plans for later this year. With these highly valued companies coming to market, there's been…

Being Useful is More Attractive Than Being Rich

I recently saw this Reddit post about a man who retired early (FIRE) only to be called a "loser" by his wife go viral. In the man's own words: 41m, $2mm liquid, $650k retirement and I get a $75k/yr royalty from a business I sold. Recently retired. Wife is a sc…

Hacks vs. Artists

My wife and I recently started watching Hacks, the HBO TV series starring Jean Smart and Hannah Einbinder, about a legendary comedian trying to stay relevant in a changing world. It's funny, the writing is fantastic, and there are lots of great plot twists. Bu…

Why Taxing the Wealthy is Harder Than it Looks

Over the last year, there have been a number of policies aimed at taxing the wealthy and ultra-wealthy. It started last November when the "2026 Billionaire Tax Act" ballot initiative was proposed in California to impose a one-time 5% wealth tax on its resident…

The Risk-Wealth Paradox: Why More Money Means You Should Take Less Risk

There's a common belief that as your wealth increases, your capacity to take risk increases as well. After all, when you have more you can afford to lose more, right? This might be correct in the extremes, but this argument doesn't hold in more typical wealth…

The Great Filter

It's 1:30 AM and my wife is in the middle of labor. We're both trying to get some sleep while she dilates further from 3cm to the ultimate goal—10cm. That's when I wake to one of the nurses telling my wife: We don't want you to panic, but you're about to hear…

What I’ve Learned Writing 500 Blog Posts

As of today, I've published 500 blog posts online since January 2017. That's slightly more than 1 per week. Given this, I wanted to discuss the biggest lessons I've learned from this and how they can help you. Consistency Beats Everything If there were one ide…

There’s Always Room for Quality

One time I saw someone ask James Clear, the author of Atomic Habits, "What's the point of writing a book when there are already so many books out there? Isn't the market oversaturated?" Clear agreed that this was true if your book wasn't any good. But, if your…

Why You Can’t Time the Market (Even When You Know the Future)

Wouldn’t it be great if you knew the future before it happened? Imagine all the money you could make in the stock market. It seems like a dream scenario, right? But, what if I told you that it wasn't true? What if "knowing the future" wasn't as profitable as y…

Is Home Equity Fake Wealth?

With the surge in U.S. home prices since 2020, Americans have more home equity than ever before. As Realtor.com reported in September 2025 (emphasis mine): In the second quarter of 2025, the Flow of Funds data from the Federal Reserve showed that the total val…

The Leaf Leafs Anyway

Tiffany “The Budgetnista” Aliche, New York Times bestselling author, once told a story about how she was on a long walk around Central Park when she saw the most perfect leaf she had ever seen in her life. It was fall in New York City and many of the leaves we…

Pray for Beta, Not Alpha

There's a popular belief in the investment industry that alpha, or the ability to beat the market, is the thing that you should seek out as an investor. This is perfectly logical. All else being equal, more alpha is always better than less. But, having alpha d…

The Risk You Aren’t Thinking About

A few years before Sir Ernest Henry Shackleton's famous voyage to the South Pole (as told in Endurance), Robert Falcon Scott attempted the same thing in his Terra Nova expedition. To ensure that his team would survive the 1,800-mile journey to the South Pole a…

No, the Poverty Line Isn’t $140,000 a Year

A few weeks ago, Michael Green published a post where he argued that the poverty line for a family of four in the U.S. wasn't $32,100 in annual income (as currently claimed by the Department of Health and Human Services), but closer to $140,000 per year. He ma…

My Favorite Investment Writing of 2025

With 2025 coming to an end, it’s time for my annual tradition of gathering my favorite investment writing of the year. I started this tradition in 2017, and have continued it ever since (2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024). 2025 was a year of turbulence…

There is No Substitute for Thinking

I can't stand AI-assisted writing anymore. It's all over Substack. It's in my LinkedIn replies. It's everywhere. Like a disease slowly infecting our literary consciousness. I even see it from people who I know aren't bad writers. For example, a prominent perso…

Is This How the AI Bubble Pops?

Imagine it's 2004 and I explain to you what a mortgage-backed security (MBS) is. I show you how they work and how banks are using them to sell groups of mortgages to investors. Even with this knowledge, it would've been difficult to foresee the financial crisi…